Road to Recovery

April 2, 2025

Tariffs Heard ‘Round the World

April 8, 2025

The Almighty Digital Dollar

Exploring the Rise of Stablecoins, Tether’s Dominance, and the Next Era of Tokenized Cash

The stablecoin market has entered a new era of rapid expansion, increasingly defined by competition, innovation, and institutional adoption. As of Q1 2025, the total circulating stablecoin supply has reached $234 billion, up significantly year-over-year — and a closer look at the data reveals just how much of this growth continues to be driven by Tether (USDT).

Tether: Still the Kingmaker

Tether remains the undisputed leader in the space, commanding 62% of the total stablecoin supply. With over $144 billion in circulation, USDT’s role in crypto markets has expanded far beyond its initial purpose of serving as a volatility hedge for traders. Tether has evolved into a global financial powerhouse — in 2024, the company reported an astonishing $13 billion in net profit, placing it among the most profitable entities worldwide. It was also the 7th largest purchaser of U.S. Treasuries, sitting alongside sovereign nations and major investment firms.

This dominant position has sparked a wave of challengers, many of whom are offering yield-bearing stablecoins that resemble tokenized money market accounts. These alternatives aim to capitalize on rising interest rates and demand for yield-bearing digital cash, positioning themselves as more than just transaction rails — but as real financial instruments competing with traditional deposits.

USDC and the Rise of the Yield-Bearing Class

While USDC remains the second-largest player with $60 billion in circulation (26% market share), it has struggled to maintain the growth trajectory it enjoyed earlier in the decade. Still, Circle’s enterprise-friendly model, regulatory transparency, and potential support from upcoming U.S. legislation may give it renewed momentum.

Meanwhile, newer entrants like Ethena’s USDe, Sky Dollar, and BlackRock’s BUIDL are part of a broader wave of programmable, interest-accruing stablecoins. Although collectively these projects account for just 12% of the market, the percentage growth of these “Other” stablecoins has outpaced both USDT and USDC since late 2023, as shown in the chart.

This signals a paradigm shift: the stablecoin market is no longer just about stability — it’s about utility, yield, and composability.

The Regulatory Inflection Point

One of the key catalysts for this expansion appears to be post-election policy expectations. Following the U.S. election in late 2024, stablecoin issuance notably accelerated. This is likely tied to the current administration’s more favorable stance on digital asset innovation, including a proposed stablecoin bill that could provide long-awaited clarity.

The bill is expected to outline:

  • Permissible activities for stablecoin issuers
  • Reserve requirements, including acceptable assets backing stablecoins
  • Custody standards for protecting user funds
  • A framework for yield distribution and disclosure obligations

If passed, this legislation could serve as a greenlight for further institutional adoption, bringing stablecoins closer to being treated as mainstream financial infrastructure.

Looking Ahead

As the digital dollar takes shape, Tether’s dominance is likely to be tested — not necessarily by one new issuer, but by the collective growth of modular, interoperable, yield-generating alternatives. For investors, the stablecoin space is no longer just about choosing between USDT and USDC — it’s becoming a layered ecosystem with differentiated risk/return profiles and emerging regulatory frameworks.

At Canary Capital, we continue to monitor this landscape closely, as stablecoins increasingly represent not just liquidity tools, but indicators of broader capital rotation, institutional sentiment, and real-world asset tokenization trends.

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Steven McClurg

Founder, CEO

Prior to founding Canary, Steven co-founded and served as CIO of Valkyrie Investments, whose public funds business was acquired by CoinShares in 2024. He was previously a Managing Director at Guggenheim Partners, overseeing portfolio strategy for fixed income and private equity. He also founded Theseus Capital (acquired by Galaxy Digital) and served as an MD at Galaxy. Steven holds a Master of Science and MBA from Pepperdine University, where he has served as an adjunct professor.

Drew Hill

President, CLO

Drew is a seasoned digital asset attorney with deep expertise in securities law and fund compliance. Before Canary, he was GC and CCO at Valkyrie Investments and a key figure in Frost Brown Todd LLC’s Blockchain and M&A practice. He holds a BA in Finance & Spanish from the University of Oregon and a JD from Northwestern’s Pritzker School of Law.

Jamal Pesaran

Co-Chief Investment Officer

Jamal Pesaran, CFA, is Co-Chief Investment Officer for Canary Capital LLC. With 30 years of investment experience, he has extensive portfolio management, trade execution as well as client-facing experience.

As Senior Portfolio Manager with Guggenheim Partners, Jamal helped build the Guggenheim Equities business and developed the income focused and risk-managed strategies with AUM of over $4 Billion. With Morgan Stanley, as Senior PM and CIO for an Ultra High Net worth team, he managed both Active equity, fixed income strategies as well as overall portfolio allocations across alternative assets. Prior to joining Canary Capital, as Head of Capital Markets for Clifton AI, he helped develop and market a Gen-AI platform for Investment Research. His experience includes extensive portfolio management experience as Senior Equity Options Portfolio Manager, across European, US and Asian markets with Goldman Sachs and UBS Securities. He worked in Equity Derivatives Hedge Fund Sales with Lehman Brothers in New York and HSBC in Hong Kong.

He holds an MBA from UCLA Anderson where he was awarded the Edward Carter Fellowship for academic performance in the top 2% of the class.

Josh Olszewicz

VP, Head of Trading

With over a decade in digital asset markets, Josh leads Canary’s trading strategy and research. He previously headed crypto research at BraveNewCoin, was a portfolio manager at Techemy Capital, and served as Head of Research at Valkyrie Investments. Josh holds a BS in Human Biology and an MS in Biotechnology, and formerly taught lab sciences at the university level.

Linnea Steffy

VP, Finance

Linnea leads finance at Canary Capital, overseeing FP&A, fund accounting, and mid-office operations across the firm’s hedge funds, private funds, and ETFs. A strategic finance expert with a decade of experience, she previously managed over $850M+ in operating budgets at Discovery Inc., where she partnered directly with executive and creative leadership on major US networks including HGTV, DIY, and GAC. Linnea began her career at KPMG and holds a BS in Business Administration from the University of Tennessee, Knoxville.

Amber Reedy

Invetor Relations

Amber has over 15 years of experience driving growth through investor engagement, partnership strategy, and cross-sector business development. She’s known for building long-term relationships with institutional allocators and key stakeholders. Her strength lies in unlocking new revenue streams and delivering measurable outcomes across verticals.

Redding Shelby

ETF Operations Lead

Redding leads ETF operations at Canary Capital, managing daily fund activities across trading, accounting, and finance responsibilities. He is a fund operations professional with over five years of experience in ETF administration and business management. His expertise spans transaction oversight, reconciliations, and compliance for ETFs with exposure to digital assets. At U.S. Bancorp, Redding was instrumental in launching '40 Act ETF products and supporting the administrative needs of a leading national service platform. He excels at identifying and implementing process improvements, and collaborating across business units to drive performance. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Finance from Ouachita Baptist University.

Alexis Busse

Executive Assistant

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin–Madison with a degree in Kinesiology and a certificate in Athletic Healthcare, Alexis serves as Executive Assistant and Office Manager. She brings management experience in hospitality and fitness to her role, supporting executive initiatives and overseeing daily operations to ensure organizational efficiency and seamless coordination across the company.

Dylan Farnick

Associate Trader

With over a decade of experience in digital asset markets, Dylan brings a strategic approach to trading and research. He quickly honed his skills in navigating digital exchanges and futures trading, with research focused on post-mortem analysis. His expertise extends beyond trading to include UI/UX consulting, working on trading interfaces and documentation for various platforms including Kraken and Tradingview, as well as community management, where he provided direct product feedback as a liaison with the crypto trading community.

Bronson Kaufusi

Business Development

A former NFL athlete turned business strategist, Bronson blends on-the-field experience with data-driven leadership. He brings expertise in consulting, real estate, blockchain, and data analytics, and has led initiatives supporting startups and athletic organizations alike. He serves as a board member at UVU, Head of Player Development at OG1 Athletes, and is active in nonprofit and entrepreneurial networks.